Penna model estimate of medical care improvement


Proceedings of the 28th Samahang Pisika ng Pilipinas Physics Congress, Meralco Management and Leadership Development Center, Antipolo City, 25–27 Oct 2010, SPP-2010-001.


Quantitative estimates for the quality of care are obtained from a Penna model that incorporates medical care. Enhancements in health services and welfare increase the average lifespan by decreasing the effect of heritable diseases. Feasibility of the approach was demonstrated by fitting simulation results with the Philippine life expectancy data. We find that the relative increase in lifespan is proportional to the improvement in care. The Penna model estimates of life expectancy compare well with the UN projections for the Philippine population.